Banks/Money Managment

OPEC was trying to cut production, but Russia wouldn’t.


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Recently they were, but not that long ago they tried to run wide open to drive the price down and hurt the US shale producers.

They failed at that, due to a number of reasons, one of those being that our domestic production exceeded demand, and we didn't need their oil.
 
Recently they were, but not that long ago they tried to run wide open to drive the price down and hurt the US shale producers.

They failed at that, due to a number of reasons, one of those being that our domestic production exceeded demand, and we didn't need their oil.

Yes, I knew that. They are not our friends, at all, but I was speaking of the past couple of weeks.


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It isn’t time yet.


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Possibly, but if it goes much lower, you better get a bunch of chickens and get ready to sell eggs. I believe the Goldman Sachs article I shared to be nearly correct. We will flirt with an S&P 500 level of 2000, with a lot of volatility for months, then rebound. You’ll never buy at the exact bottom, but stocks are trading at huge discount, now.


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(Googles how to buy and run an oil field, first time buyer)


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Lol been there done that and trust me, if there’s one thing that will suck all the money out of your account faster than a Jeep it’s an oil well.


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Don’t be surprised if it gets to $15/bbl. I still think it will correct itself to $50 by the end of the summer but I’ve never seen it like this, so who knows. The scarier part is, how many of these oil producers are about to shut down for good? Most shale producers have mountains of debt. A lot of oil fields are about to be on the market for cheap.


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There is going to be such a glut of oil reserves that this will not be corrected in 5 months...I would not be surprised if the price of oil makes a comeback to pre-crisis levels for well over a year...or more...Just with the huge reduction in airline flights alone, not to mention global shipping, there will far less oil demand for a long, long time...

The Saudis may finally get their wish to break the shale producers.

I hope not, as OPEC returning to prominence will not be a good thing for any of us.

If you really want a good overview of this, there is a whole chapter about it in the book "The Absent Superpower", where the author, who does this analysis stuff for a living, lays out the fundamental reasons why Russia cannot compete with US shale prices long term. Right now, Russia is taking a loss, and they can continue for a while longer due to their cash reserves, but long term, Russia just cannot produce shale gas cheaper than the US due to geographical and geological challenges.

When the market stabilizes after this price war, new producers will start up and backfill the capacity lost from those who went under. This happens every time there are major price swings in the oil and gas market.

I agree with Brute that the oversupply will probably take longer than a few months to recover. Currently, the US is projected to run out of crude oil storage capacity by July.


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It was Russia that was most pissed at the US shale oil biz for cutting into their market share...hence why they don't want to cut production as OPEC wished for...this was a move to directly hurt the US shale oil sector

Exactly, and it will hurt, but at least the oil is still there.


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Sounds like the IRS will also now be moving the tax FILING day to July 15th as well:

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/20/cco...will-move-tax-filing-deadline-to-july-15.html




The IRS is moving its national income tax filing day ahead to July 15 as part of a growing effort to stem the financial pain from the coronavirus pandemic, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced Friday.

The move gives Americans three months more than they otherwise would have to file their income tax returns.

“At @realDonaldTrump’s direction, we are moving Tax Day from April 15 to July 15,” Mnuchin wrote in a tweet about the extension.

“All taxpayers and businesses will have this additional time to file and make payments without interest or penalties.”
 
Sounds like the IRS will also now be moving the tax FILING day to July 15th as well:

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/20/cco...will-move-tax-filing-deadline-to-july-15.html




The IRS is moving its national income tax filing day ahead to July 15 as part of a growing effort to stem the financial pain from the coronavirus pandemic, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced Friday.

The move gives Americans three months more than they otherwise would have to file their income tax returns.

“At @realDonaldTrump’s direction, we are moving Tax Day from April 15 to July 15,” Mnuchin wrote in a tweet about the extension.

“All taxpayers and businesses will have this additional time to file and make payments without interest or penalties.”

Bet the folks that already filed and had to pay are pissed!
 
Bet the folks that already filed and had to pay are pissed!

I can’t imagine, I’ve always waited to the last minute to send everything out just incase something ever happened. I guess that just did.


2015 JKUR AEV JK350
1985 CJ8 Scrambler
 
I’ve been on extension so long I can’t remember when the last time I’ve filed by 4/15...trying to get all of our schedule K’s is like herding cats...
 
I can’t imagine, I’ve always waited to the last minute to send everything out just incase something ever happened. I guess that just did.


2015 JKUR AEV JK350
1985 CJ8 Scrambler

I’ve been on extension so long I can’t remember when the last time I’ve filed by 4/15...trying to get all of our schedule K’s is like herding cats...


Same here. I can't remember the last time I didn't do an extension. My accountant has a standing order to file for one unless I say otherwise.
 
Same here. I can't remember the last time I didn't do an extension. My accountant has a standing order to file for one unless I say otherwise.

Same boat, but you still need to make sure we were closely paid up to avoid any penalties. I’ve always extended to max out my company match for retirement.


2015 JKUR AEV JK350
1985 CJ8 Scrambler
 
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