The issue really lies in the R value of the virus.... The flu has an R of 1 or just shy of 1 meaning for every 1 person that gets it they can infect 1. That is a level line and something our health Care system can manage. Corona is sitting in the 2.5 range which causes exponential growth and will over run the hospitals so people that wouldn't normally die from the flu or corona, or a heart attack or any illness that makes them an inpatient, might. The social distancing and business closures is an external way to try to lower the R value. If we did nothing the R would be more.
I agree that more people will probably die from the flu and the math suggests this isn't a big deal but knowing what I know about my local hospitals they can't support even 10 new inpatients of any nature. So if we let a virus with the potential for exponential growth run though the town a lot more people will die. And not just from corona but anything that requires a hospital for life support. Corona is just really contagious where influenza is not.
Stats can always be swayed in the way you want but the issue really isn't the virus itself it's what it's going to do to our health care system if it runs wild.
I'm sure there will be tons of back patting around the world for people who don't deserve it when this is over but I just pray this brings to light how under staffed and overworked health care system is in the end.
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